Economie in ontwikkeling: Wantrouwen in de euro deel 3

woensdag 9 juni 2010

Wantrouwen in de euro deel 3

"China maintained that the eurozone was an important investment destination for its FX reserves the week before last… But they would say that wouldn’t they? They are sitting on a lot of exposure to the eurozone and saying that they are considering their options would just push it lower … No large central bank is going to openly say it is reconsidering its euro exposure; it would be self defeating …" Aldus Peter Garnham van het FT. En hij heeft gelijk.

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Publicaties

-Moons en Petri (2006), Hoger onderwijs een stelsel met voeten zonder vleugels, Elsevier TH&MA, Amsterdam
- Bergeijk en Moons (2008), Economic Diplomacy and Economic Security, in C.Costa (ed.), New Forntiers of Economic Diplomacy, Lisboa
-Chrisstoffels en Moons (2009), Geen winstmaximalisatie maar schuldminimalisatie, Kwartaaltijdschift Economie, Jaargang 2009 uitgave 2, Tilburg/ Leuven
-Moons en Oldersma (2009), Amerika in de crisis, ESB, Den Haag
-Moons en Oldersma (2009), China in de crisis, ESB, Den Haag
-Moons en Oldersma (2009), Japan in de crisis, ESB, Den Haag
-Moons en van der Zee (2009), Rusland en de crisis, ESB, Den Haag
-Bergeijk en Moons (2010), Economic Security: A meta-analysis, Paris
-Fortanier en Moons (2010), Foreign investors in the Netherlands: heterogeneous employment and productivity effects. De Economist
-Economic Diplomacy Works: A Meta Analysis, ETSG conference paper, Kopenhagen 2011
-Productivity and Internationalisation:A micro data approach. Economist (article 9175), Springer Science + Business, 2011
- Moons en van Bergeijk (2011), De effectiviteit van economische diplomatie, ESB, Den Haag
- The effect of economic diplomacy on international flows. IDB workshop "The effects of export and investmentpromotion". IDB:Washington 2012
- What are the effects of economic diplomacy on the margins of trade" International Journal of Diplomacy and Economy, 2012

Lessen van Keynes

1) "It is the nature of organized investment markets, under the influence of purchasers largely ignorant of what they are buying and of speculators who are more concerned with forecasting the next shift of market sentiment than with a reasonable estimate of the future yield of capital assets, that, when disillusion falls upon a over-optimistic and over-bought market, it should fall with sudden and even catastrophic force."

2) "If a reduction in the rate of interest was capable of providing an effctive remedy by itself, it might be possible to achieve a recovery without the elapse of any considerable interval of time and by means more or less directly under the control of the monetary authority. But, in fact, this is not usually the case; and it is not so easy to revive the marginal efficiency of capital, determined, as it is, by the uncontrollable and disobedient psychology of the business world.

3) "The ideas of economist and political philosophers, both when they are wright and when tyhey are wrong, are more powerful than commonly understood. Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from intellectual influense are usually the slaves of some defunct economist."